Ukraine: President Yanukovych refuses to reach a real compromise with protesters, thereby increasing the probability of a military scenario
The calmness on the barricades, which has lasted for the past few days, may soon cease. The President and his party declare readiness to compromise, but in fact they are only giving themselves more time, since no serious steps towards resolving the conflict have been taken. After two months of completely ignoring the protest of one million people, the authorities achieved their goal of radicalising the Maidan. Now, due to their inaction, the pretence at negotiations and a cynical attitude towards the protesters and international community, the authorities risk provoking a new wave of violence.
The President intentionally lobbied the impracticable and unlawful amnesty law, referred to by human rights defenders as the ‘law on state hostages’. On the other hand, the authorities describe the partial suspension of ‘dictatorship laws’ as a ‘serious compromise’. However, those laws were passed with gross violations of procedures and were not legitimate in terms of public reaction. Prime Minister Mykola Azarov, who fled from Ukraine to Austria by private jet immediately after his resignation, was replaced by Sergei Arbuzov – a person close to the so-called ‘family’ of Yanukovych (which means he is connected with the family business of the President and his sons). Importantly, Azarov, an ardent supporter of the Customs Union for the Ukrainian People, himself chose the European Union, and moved his family and considerable capital of dubious origin to Austria.